Pantelidis, Theologos; Pittis, Nikitas - In: Journal of Forecasting 28 (2009) 7, pp. 612-630
This paper investigates the effects of imposing invalid cointegration restrictions or ignoring valid ones on the estimation, testing and forecasting properties of the bivariate, first-order, vector autoregressive (VAR(1)) model. We first consider nearly cointegrated VARs, that is, stable systems...