Kenny, Geoff; Kostka, Thomas; Masera, Federico - In: Journal of Forecasting 33 (2014) 3, pp. 163-185
ABSTRACT In this paper, we propose a framework to evaluate the subjective density forecasts of macroeconomists using micro data from the euro area Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF). A key aspect of our analysis is the use of evaluation measures which take account of the entire predictive...