Yu, Wei-Choun; Salyards, Donald M. - In: Journal of Forecasting 28 (2009) 1, pp. 73-88
This paper investigates the sensitivity of out-of-sample forecasting performance over a span of different parameters of l in the dynamic Nelson-Siegel three-factor AR(1) model. First, we find that the ad hoc selection of l is not optimal. Second, we find a substantial difference in factor...