Triacca, Umberto - In: Journal of Forecasting 21 (2002) 8, pp. 595-99
In time series analysis, a vector Y is often called causal for another vector X if the former helps to improve the k-step-ahead forecast of the latter. If this holds for k= 1, vector Y is commonly called Granger-causal for X. It has been shown in several studies that the finding of causality...