In this paper, we suggest a method that uses past soccer tournament results to estimate the probabilities for the various possible scores of soccer game matches. Given forecasted probabilities, we try to have the best guess for bets concerning the results in the Israeli league. We applied the...

In this paper, using Israeli soccer tournament results from 2009/2010 and an ordered dependent estimation model I calculated for each team, in each game played during the season, the a priori probability of a win, loss or a tie as a function of lag performance. Given these probabilities, the...