The purpose of the present paper is to provide microfoundations of how households form subjective expectations of the macroeconomy. We focus on the role of perceived news; distinguishing between good and bad news. The paper introduces a testable model where households give unequal importance (or...

Using recently published tax series by Romer and Romer (2010) and Cloyne (2013) we examine whether or not positive and negative tax shocks have asymmetric effects on the U.S. and U.K. economies. We find that in the U.S. positive tax shocks—tax increases—do not affect output while negative...

Taylor (1979) posited that a central bank faces a tradeoff between the volatility of the output gap and volatility of inflation; this trade-off has become known as the Taylor curve. Thus, the Taylor curve necessitates that the correlation between the volatilities of inflation and the output gap...