Cogley, Timothy; Sargent, Thomas J. - In: Journal of Monetary Economics 55 (2008) 3, pp. 454-476
By positing learning and a pessimistic initial prior, we build a model that disconnects a representative consumer's subjective attitudes toward risk from the high price of risk that a rational-expectations econometrician would deduce from financial market data. We follow Friedman and Schwartz...