The paper presents a formalization of Kaldor's two-sector agriculture-industry model of economic growth. It analyzes the model under two different scenarios. The first scenarioânamely, that of idealized (relative) price adjustment in which growth is unconstrained by effective demandâis already...

Current economic policy upgrades monetary policy and downgrades fiscal policy. Monetary policy involves the manipulation of the central bank interest rate, with the specific objective of achieving the main goal of monetary policy, which is, in most cases, the inflation rate. Fiscal policy should...

This paper deals with the empirical aspects of the "new" monetary policy framework, known as "inflation targeting." Applying intervention analysis to structural time-series models, new empirical evidence is produced in the case of ten countries. These results demonstrate that in terms of its...

One explanation for the U.S. subprime crisis was the export-led growth strategy of China that allowed the country to build up substantial trade surpluses. This led to a world glut of savings and was responsible for low world interest rates and the cheap credit in, especially, the United States....

The subprime crisis was largely unanticipated as the efficient market hypothesis held sway and the Gaussian techniques used to rate collateralized debt obligations were assumed to have diversified risk and reduced systemic risk. However, as this paper argues, many of the shortcomings stemming...

This paper uses the balance-of-payments-constrained model to estimate the determinants of the long-run rate of growth of Brazil. Contrary to previous tests for the country found in the literature, this paper uses a different approach to test the long-run relationship between actual growth rates...

This is an addendum to Britto and McCombie (2009), in which more appropriate procedures are used to test for the long-run relationship between actual growth rates for Brazil and the hypothetical balance-of-payments growth rates. The results confirm the original conclusions.

This paper tests the balance-of-payments constrained growth model using Thailand as a case study. The study explicitly considers the potential existence of a structural break when estimating the model. On balance, it is found that Thailand's long-run economic growth over the period 1962-2009 is...