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Mainstream explanations to gambling specify conditions under which human agents are locally risk loving. Such theories, however, fail to explain the typically observed prize distribution of a few large prizes and a large number of medium ones--hence the medium prizes paradox. In the current...
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This paper shows that QALYs can be derived from more elementary conditions than thought hitherto in the literature: it suffices to impose risk neutrality for life years in every health state. This derivation of QALYs is appealing because it does not require knowledge of concepts from utility...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005542746
This article studies situations in which information is ambiguous and only part of it can be probably. It is shown that the information can be modeled through belief functions if and only if the nonprobabilizable information is subject to the principle of complete ignorance. Next the...
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Prospect theory is the most popular theory for predicting decisions under risk. This paper investigates its predictive power for decisions under ambiguity, using its specification through the source method. We find that it outperforms its most popular alternatives, including subjective expected...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010863453
Cumulative prospect theory was introduced by Tversky and Kahneman so as to combine the empirical realism of their original prospect theory with the theoretical advantages of Quiggin's rank-dependent utility. Preference axiomatizations were provided in several papers. All those axiomatizations,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005067994