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Although the t-ratio variant of the Dickey-Fuller test is the most commonly applied unit-root test in practical applications, it has been known for some time that readily implementable, more powerful modifications are available. We explore the large-sample properties of five of these modified...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005676648
We analyse the case where a unit-root test is based on a Dickey-Fuller regression the only deterministic term of which is a fixed intercept. Suppose, however, as could well be the case, that the actual data-generating process includes a broken linear trend. It is shown theoretically, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005260654
Assume that a time series is generated by an autoregression which has atmost one unit root. A correctly specified model, including linear time trend, is estimated by ordinary least squares, but no allowance is made for any unit root in the generating process. We investigate the impact of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005161518
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012094953
Using standardized cumulative sums of squared sub-sample residuals, we propose a new ratio-based test of the null hypothesis that a time series exhibits no change in its persistence structure [specifically that it displays constant I(1) behaviour] against the alternative of a change in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005260653
In this paper, we suggest a new set of regression-based statistics for testing the seasonal unit root null hypothesis. These tests are based on combining conventional Hylleberg et al. (1990) -type seasonal unit root test statistics calculated from both forward and reverse estimation of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005177468
Much research has been devoted to assessing the evidence for linear trend in a time series. We discuss the statistical implications of some recent developments, with specific application to 24 time series of relative primary commodities prices. Copyright 2003 Blackwell Publishing Ltd.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005260662
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012094940
It is now well known that how the initial observation is generated can have a significant effect on the power of a unit-root test. In this article, we show that by taking a simple data-dependent weighted average of the initial condition-robust test of Elliott and Müller [Journal of Econometrics...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005676628
This article examines the behaviour of some recently proposed 'robust' (to the order of integration of the data) tests for the presence of a deterministic linear trend in a univariate times series in situations where the magnitude of the initial condition of the series is non-negligible. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008671031