Showing 1 - 10 of 94
Several market and macro-level variables influence the evolution of equity risk in addition to the well-known volatility persistence. However, the impact of those covariates might change depending on the risk level, being different between low and high volatility states. By combining equity risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011543141
In this study, I apply a quantile regression model to investigate how gold returns respond to changes in various financial indicators. The model quantifies the asymmetric response of gold return in the tails of the distribution based on weekly data over the past 30 years. I conducted a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012022330
Considering the inferior volatility tracking capability of the point-data-based models, we propose using the more informative price interval data and building interval regression models for volatility forecasting. To characterize the heterogeneity of the market and the nonlinearity of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014284403
This paper employs weighted least squares to examine the risk-return relation by applying high-frequency data from four major stock indexes in the US market and finds some evidence in favor of a positive relation between the mean of the excess returns and expected risk. However, by using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011555867
This paper analyzes high-frequency estimates of good and bad realized volatility of Bitcoin. We show that volatility asymmetry depends on the volatility regime and the forecast horizon. For one-day ahead forecasts, good volatility commands a stronger impact on future volatility than bad...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012392557
We propose a simple three-factor pricing model, consisting of a local stock market index, a global REIT market index, and a global stock market index, to examine the dependence structure of conditional volatilities in the real estate investment trust (REIT) market from 11 countries over the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013273545
In this paper, we document that realized variation measures constructed from high-frequency returns reveal a large degree of volatility risk in stock and index returns, where we characterize volatility risk by the extent to which forecasting errors in realized volatility are substantive. Even...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011553303
evident. In forecasting volatility, the combination that averages forecasts obtained using different rolling estimation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011961363
This paper revisits the question whether volatilities of different markets and trading zones have a long-run equilibrium in the sense that they are fractionally cointegrated. We consider the U.S., Japanese and German stock, bond and foreign exchange markets to see whether there is fractional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012322368
Predicting volatility is a must in the finance domain. Estimations of volatility, along with the central tendency, permit us to evaluate the chances of getting a particular result. Financial analysts are frequently challenged with the assignment of diversifying assets in order to form efficient...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012384430