Dukic, Vanja; Lopes, Hedibert F.; Polson, Nicholas G. - In: Journal of the American Statistical Association 107 (2012) 500, pp. 1410-1426
In this article, we use Google Flu Trends data together with a sequential surveillance model based on state-space methodology to track the evolution of an epidemic process over time. We embed a classical mathematical epidemiology model [a susceptible-exposed-infected-recovered (SEIR) model]...