Showing 1 - 10 of 15
scrutinise the composition of one of the most influential economic indicators in Switzerland. The Purchasing Managers' Index …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010498418
the quarterly real GDP growth rate in Switzerland. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010498420
The paper addresses the question on what is the typical time horizon over which a full transmission of movements in the real exchange rate into real economy takes place. To this end, we base our analysis on the mixed-frequency small-scale dynamic factor model of Siliverstovs (2012) fitted to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010482019
This paper presents a composite leading indicator for the Swiss business cycle corresponding to the growth rate cycle concept. It is the result of a complete overhaul of the KOF Economic Barometer that has been published by the KOF Swiss Economic Institute on a monthly basis since 1976. In line...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010338122
In a pioneering attempt we present the R(ecession)-word index for Switzerland. We evaluate its predictive ability of … ; nowcasting ; real-time data ; Switzerland …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009557782
(2012) in a genuine ex ante forecasting exercise. We perform our forecast of GDP growth in Switzerland in real time using …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009541247
In this study we suggest a chronology of the classical business cycle in Switzerland. To this end we use two approaches … ; Switzerland …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009270442
quarterly GDP growth rate in Switzerland during the period of the recent financial crisis. The key explanation to our findings … estimates of the quarterly GDP growth rate are produced in Switzerland. -- GDP revisions ; forecasting ; mixed-frequency data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009270459
constructed for Germany and Switzerland. We use these indices in order to track the business cycle dynamics in these two countries … Switzerland. Third, we show that the RWI-based forecasts are more accurate than the consensus forecasts (published by Consensus … Economics Inc.) for Switzerland, whereas we reach the opposite conclusion for Germany. In fact, the accuracy of the consensus …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009757256
The current debt crisis has shed light on the importance of accurate fiscal forecasts. In particular, the accuracy of revenue forecasts is central since they set the limit within which expenditure should remain in order to reach fiscal balance. Therefore, forecasting tax revenue accurately is a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009687789