We provide a systematic analysis of fiscal consolidation in a medium-scale dynamic general equilibrium model. Our results show that the choice of the consolidation instrument is very important, not only with respect to the short- and long-run output effects of the different consolidation...

In many countries, fiscal policy became strongly expansionary in order to fight the recession. Structural budget deficits increased sharply and might remain high after the end of the recession. This would raise real interest rates and would impair economic growth. Some measures to reduce the...

Recent research and events have brought fiscal policy back into the spotlight. Fiscal Taylor rules and error correction models have represented two different ways of quantifying the feedbacks from fiscal and economic conditions to fiscal policy decisions. This paper synthesizes these two ideas,...

We formulate and estimate a simple fiscal policy reaction function for the euro area and individual euro area countries. Our reaction function allows for primary surpluses to feature three components: an anti-cyclical response of primary surpluses to the output gap, a response to the debt-GDP...

We project the path of the public debt and primary surpluses for a number of countries in the euro area under a fiscal rule based on a set of estimated fiscal policy reaction functions. Our fiscal rule represents a fiscal analogue to a well-known monetary policy rule, and it is calibrated using...

Eine nachhaltige Finanzpolitik kann man nur Bayern und Sachsen bescheinigen. Den übrigen Bundesländern gelingt es nicht, ihre Schulden im Verhältnis zum Bruttoinlandsprodukt zu stabilisieren oder zurückzufahren. Größter Haushaltssünder ist Berlin mit einer Nachhaltigkeitslücke von 6,38...

Budgetary revenues of the Land Berlin have been considerably high because of an external co-alimentation from the federal budget, both before and in the aftermath of German reunification. This support has contributed to a lack of discipline on the expenditure side of the budget of Berlin. In...

In einer Regressionsanalyse werden mögliche Determinanten kommunaler Verschuldung untersucht. Von erheblicher Bedeutung sind die SGBII-Quote und das Zusammenspiel aus Einwohnerzahl und Einwohnerdichte. Zudem spielt die Länderzugehörigkeit der Kommunen eine große Rolle. Unterschiede gibt es...

We investigate the impact of errors in medium run tax revenue forecasts on the final budget balance. Our analysis is based on fiscal data for the entirety of German states and takes advantage of revenue forecasts and respective errors that can be considered as exogenously given in the budgeting...

This paper provides a set of detailed estimated fiscal reaction functions for a panel of twenty industrialized countries, and it discusses commonalities and differences with regard to systematic fiscal policies across countries. In general, the countries in the panel adjust tax revenues strongly...