Showing 1 - 10 of 16
We study the design of optimal monetary policy (Ramsey policies) in a model with sticky prices and unionized labour markets. Collective wage bargaining and unions monopoly power tend to dampen wage fluctuations and to amplify employment fluctuations relatively to a DNK model with walrasian...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005076091
Germany has had an extremely low growth performance since 1995. The paper looks at the long-run reasons for this loss of economic dynamics besides German unification: These include leaving labor idle, a declining share of investment in GDP, a weaker innovative activity, an ineffective system for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005818909
The currency crises of the 1990s all exhibit a divergence of the nominal and the real exchange rate together with an increase in the negative current account. The nominal rate does not reflect inflation differences fully and the ensuing real appreciation leads to a negative current account. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005700507
How can we explain the observed behavior of aggregate inflation in response to e.g. monetary policy changes? Mankiw and Reis (2002) have proposed sticky information as an alternative to Calvo sticky prices in order to model the conventional view that i) inflation reacts with delay and gradually...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005700564
This paper proposes an approach for estimating the uncertainty associated with model-based macroeconomic forecasts. We argue that estimated forecast intervals should account for the uncertainty arising from selecting the specification of an empirical forecasting model from the sample data. To...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005700569
We consider whether Sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries are mainly poor because they are governed worse than other countries, as suggested by recent studies on the supremacy of institutions. Our empirical results show that the supremacy of institutions does not hold. SSA countries appear to face...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010886842
I reconsider the primacy of institutions over geography as an explanatory factor of cross-country differences in economic performance, which has recently been postulated by Acemoglu et al. (2001) and others. My estimates show that the reported missing direct performance effects of a measure of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005076113
This paper investigates the relationship between the size of government and economic growth in OECD countries in 1960–2000. The underlying idea is that government expenditures on public goods basically have a positive effect on growth, but this growth effect tends to decline or even reverse...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005818778
A review of the measures of the stock of human capital used in empirical growth research reveals that human capital is mostly poorly proxied. The simple use of the most common proxy, average years of schooling of the working-age population, misspecifies the relationship between education and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005818780
In diesem Arbeitspapier wird die Hypothese untersucht, dass die gesamtwirtschaftliche Leistungsfähigkeit unter dem Einfluss demographischer und bildungspolitischer Faktoren steht. Als erstes wird ein Überblick über die Entwicklung des Qualifikationsangebots und der Arbeitsproduktivität in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005755177