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Exponential smooth transition autoregressive (ESTAR) models are widely used in the international finance literature, particularly for the modelling of real exchange rates. We show that the exponential function is ill-suited as a regime weighting function because of two undesirable properties....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011747829
We consider forecast combination and, indirectly, model selection for VAR models when there is uncertainty about which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003581516
Viewed over the whole available history of fiat money in Sweden, high levels of inflation have been present only over a short time span. It is only in the last two decades - the seventies and the eighties - that inflation has been high, at an average of eight percent on an annual basis. Based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011584828
Macroeconomic research often relies on structural vector autoregressions to uncover empirical regularities. Critics argue the method goes awry due to lag truncation: short lag-lengths imply a poor approximation to DSGE-models. Empirically, short lag-length is deemed necessary as increased...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009761529