Seit Einführung der neuen Schuldenregel hat sich die Finanzlage der deutschen Bundesländer deutlich verbessert. Nach unseren Berechnungen mit dem Aggregierten Quotierungsverfahren konnten die meisten Länder ihre strukturellen Budgetdefizite abbauen und im Jahr 2017 schon 14 Länder...

Empirical evidence on the degree of business-tax shifting is rare. It remains open to which extent the tax burden is shifted, whether there are differences for tax increases and decreases, or whether there exists some treatment heterogeneity. Using a large administrative panel data set, we...

Nach den Berechnungen der Autoren mit dem vom Stabilitätsrat verwendeten Aggregierten Quotierungsverfahren (AQV) konnten im Jahr 2017 schon 14 Bundesländer strukturell mindestens ausgeglichene Haushalte erzielen. In der aktuellen Niedrigzinsphase überzeichnet das AQV jedoch die erzielten...

In The Myth of the Rational Voter Brian Caplan shows that voters entertain systematically biased beliefs on a number of essential issues of economic policy and concludes that this leads democracies to choose bad policies. We introduce the psychological concept of mental models to address voter'...

Empirical evidence on the degree of business-tax shifting to employees via the wage level is highly controversial and rare. It remains open to which extent the tax burden is shifted, whether there are differences for tax increases and decreases, or whether there exists some treatment...

The sales taxes in the EU - and in several other countries - are practiced as value-added tax of the consumption type with invoice method. Literature on microsimulation models (MSM) for this type of VAT is rare, though the importance of VAT has continuously increased. We discuss the issues of...

James Hamilton put doubt on the quality of the HP filter estimates, and proposed an alternative regression approach to decompose trend and cycle of time series (H filter). We investigate the new H filter in detail and compare it to the HP filter. We apply both to German GDP time series. We find...

This paper analyzes whether nation-state governments can increase their credibility by becoming members of international organizations. Credibility is an important asset because it determines the real interest rate and is expected to have an important impact on investment and growth. It is...