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A common finding in the literature is that forward guidance cannot be credible under discretionary policy as long as the zero lower bound is an one-off event. However, this is not the case when recurring episodes of zero interest rates are possible. In this paper, we contribute to this new...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012208390
commitment on the overnight rate in 2009-10 has a relatively larger restricting impact on the MPC's median recommendation than …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010333474
The European Central Bank (ECB) and the Bank of England (BoE) are shadowed by professionals and academic economists who provide a separate policy rate recommendation in advance of the central bank's announcement. We explore differences between shadow and actual committee decisions based on an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010281473
In this paper, we explore the interest rate setting behavior of newly appointed central bank governors. We use the Kuttner and Posen (2010) sample, which covers 15 OECD countries, and estimate an augmented Taylor (1993) rule for the period 1974-2008. We find, first, that newly appointed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010294374
-)establish credibility, optimal monetary policy under discretion is shown to set higher interest rates today if average inflation exceeded … term in the central bank's optimal instrument rule, which we refer to as the credibility loss. Augmenting a standard Taylor … seven central banks and that this influence is economically meaningful. A deteroriation in credibility forces central …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010294449
central banks' (i) credibility, (ii) unorthodox measures, and (iii) independence. We utilise a survey of more than 500 … that the Fed communicates best, followed by the BoE, ECB, and BoJ. Similar rankings are found on the issues of credibility … credibility, increases satisfaction with unorthodox measures, and fosters perceived independence of central banks. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010335868
target. To (re-) establish credibility, monetary policy under discretion sets higher interest rates today if average … reflected in an additional term in the central bank's instrument rule, which we refer to as the "credibility loss." Augmenting a … and that this influence is economically meaningful. Deterioration in credibility (ceteris paribus) forces central bankers …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014167788
Central banks face uncertainty about the true location of the effective lower bound (ELB) on nominal interest rates. We model optimal discretionary monetary policy during a liquidity trap when the central bank designs policy that is robust with respect to the location of the ELB. If the central...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012111129
To which degree can variation in sentiment-based indicators of central bank communication be attributed to changes in macroeconomic, financial, and monetary variables; idiosyncratic speaker effects; sentiment persistence; and random "noise" ? Using the Loughran and McDonald (2011) dictionary on a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322581
Due to its official mandate, the European Central Bank (ECB) is assumed to maximize an implied objective function that leads it to pursue inflation with a subordinate focus on supporting the general economic policy of the European Union. This objective is – by its very nature – difficult to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012543678