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For some structural econometric models, the contribution of the off-diagonal blocks of the coefficients covariance matrix to the asymptotic standard errors of multipliers and forecasts is empirically evaluated.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008498457
This paper is concerned with the contribution to forecast errors of errors in the estimated structural coefficients of a macro-econometric model (simultaneous equations). Its main purpose is to perform, on several "real-world" models, an empirical comparison of alternative techniques available...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008498462
This paper presents an interactive computer package to handle and process economic data organized as time series. It is expected to provide help and great benefits to econometric model builders.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008498484
In this paper the results of six different estimation methods appliead to a linear aggregated model of the Italian economy are at first displayed. Afterwards, the inherent dynamic characteristics and the simulation properties of the six sets of estimates are analyzed. In no case the obtained...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008498495
In nonlinear econometric models, the evaluation of forecast errors is usually performed, completely or partially, by resorting to stochastic simulation. However, for evaluating the specific contribution of errors in estimated structural coefficients, several alternative methods have been...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008506106
The estimation method of Two Stage Least Squares (2SLS) with Principal Components (2SPC) is applied to a medium-sized nonlinear econometric model of the Italian Economy.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008506109
Experiments of stochastic simulation on a nonlinear macroeconometric model are described in this paper. The results are used both for improving the validation of a model of the Italian economy and for revisiting the heuristic value of the stochastic simulation methodology.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008506111
This paper presents a Monte-Carlo study on the practical reliability of numerical algorithms for FIML-estimation in nonlinear econometric models. The performance of different techniques of Hessian approximation in trust-region algorithms is compared regarding their "robustness" against "bad"...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008540113
This paper is a survey (in Italian) of the estimation methods for econometric systems of nonlinear simultaneous equations
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008540116
Purpose of this paper is the description of the tecniques used to generate pseudo-random numbers, to be added as disturbance terms to the stochastic structural equations of econometric models. These disturbance terms should have the same statistical properties as the residuals obtained, in each...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008548822