Showing 1 - 10 of 2,296
Much of the US inflation forecasting literature deals with examining the ability of macroeconomic indicators to predict … the mean of future inflation, and the overwhelming evidence suggests that the macroeconomic indicators provide little or … no predictability. In this paper, we expand the scope of inflation predictability and explore whether macroeconomic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005836192
This paper proposes a measure of real-time inflation expectations based on metadata, i.e., data about data, constructed … from internet search queries performed on the search engine Google. The forecasting performance of the Google Inflation … Search Index (GISI) is assessed relative to 37 other indicators of inflation expectations – 36 survey measures and the TIPS …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009647210
In this paper, we study some empirical issues in the estimation of a New-Keynesian Phillips curve for Tunisia. In this purpose, we compare the performance of the strict and hybrid forms in the validation of data. In addition, we try to establish the sensitivity of the Phillips curve estimation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008869268
For decades, the academic literature has focused on three survey measures of expected inflation: the Livingston Survey … models of forecasting inflation, the data are low frequency measures which appear anachronistic in the modern era of high … frequency and real-time data. I present a collection of 37 different measures of inflation expectations, including many …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009647457
This paper investigates whether the exchange rate pass-through (ERPT) to CPI inflation is a nonlinear phenomenon for … confidence during the recent sovereign debt crisis has entailed a higher sensibility of CPI inflation to exchange rate movements. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011108244
This paper examines the presence of nonlinear mechanism in the exchange rate pass-through (ERPT) to CPI inflation for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011109154
This paper investigates whether the exchange rate pass-through (ERPT) to CPI inflation is a nonlinear phenomenon for … confidence during the recent sovereign debt crisis has entailed a higher sensibility of CPI inflation to exchange rate movements. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011109707
This paper examines the presence of nonlinear mechanisms in the exchange rate pass-through (ERPT) to CPI inflation for … three macroeconomic factors, namely inflation rate, exchange rate fluctuations and business cycle. Our results reveals that … exchange rate transmission is higher when inflation rate surpass some threshold. We give a supportive evidence to the Taylor …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011258090
This study examines threshold effects of inflation on economic growth for the Zambian economy using quarterly data … identify whether there could be an optimal inflation level at which the adverse effects of inflation on economic growth are … subdued, or similarly, a level of inflation at which the positive effects of inflation on economic growth are maximized. In …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011112178
The purpose of this study is to forecast the short-term inflation rate of Bangladesh using the monthly Consumer Price … forecasted. The forecasted result suggests an increasing pattern and high rates of inflation over the forecasted period 2013 … order to combat such increase inflation in 2013. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011113416