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Recent studies have indicated that the terms 'NAIRU' (non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment) and 'natural … features. This study evaluates comparatively the inflation-forecasting power of alternative time-varying estimates of the … twentieth century. The analysis reveals that the overall inflation-forecasting utility of the natural rate of unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005835658
Both common macroeconomic shocks and country-specific developments have subjected the flexibility of wage setting mechanisms in the euro area to a stress test in recent years. Against this background, this paper takes a fresh look at wage flexibility in EMU and attempts to draw a few lessons...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005835754
that policies with good frames, including inflation targeting, can mitigate the sacrifice ratio. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008615623
deflations and intervening inflation – were the most powerful determinant of the level of real wages (i.e., in terms of the …’ by the post-Plague inflation, so that real wages fell. Conversely, the rise of real wages in the second quarter of the … 1347-48, followed by other waves of bubonic plague, led to an abrupt rise in real wages, for both agricultural labourers …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005055486
We use data on enterprise level from a survey of medium sized and big companies to test for downward nominal wage rigidity in Poland. We find relatively weak support for downward nominal wage rigidity when average total compensation in the enterprise is taken into account. However, since this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005619791
undergone many criticisms and evolutions. The Phillips curve yet remains a fundamental tool for inflation forecasting and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005617192
We propose a new methodology for ranking in probability the commonly proposed drivers of inflation in the New Keynesian … to labor share, output gap or unemployment rate as the driver of U.S. inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011108571
-off between the U.S inflation rate and a Unit Labor Cost-based measure of the real activity through a Markov Switching Intercept … the rationality in the agents' expectations process. It underlies a finite number of expected inflation rate regimes … structural stability of the NKPC over the inflation rate regimes as its deep parameters seem to be unaffected by the regimes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009402062
In this paper, we study some empirical issues in the estimation of a New-Keynesian Phillips curve for Tunisia. In this purpose, we compare the performance of the strict and hybrid forms in the validation of data. In addition, we try to establish the sensitivity of the Phillips curve estimation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008869268
and lagged relationships between the rates of inflation, unemployment, and change in labour force. For France, several … relationships were estimated eight years ago. The change rate of labour force was used as a driving force of inflation and … estimated with eight new readings obtained since 2004. The rate of CPI inflation is predicted with RMSFE=1.5% per year. For the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011109998