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the business cycle on the highfrequency volatility of the EUR/USD exchange rate. The results suggest that in general bad … news increases volatility more than good news. The news effects also depend on the state of the economy: bad news increases … volatility more in good times than in bad times, while there is no difference between the volatility effects of good news in bad …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005623524
scaling regions, we find that sliding interval methods can generate fat-tailed distributions as an artifact, and that the type … of scaling reported in many previous studies does not exist. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005617008
volatility across different time scales. We call this property asymmetric vertical dependence. It is asymmetric in the sense that … a low volatility state (regime) at a long time horizon is most likely followed by low volatility states at shorter time … horizons. On the other hand, a high volatility state at long time horizons does not necessarily imply a high volatility state …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005787044
a scaling Gaussian Markov process with H≠1/2 over a finite time interval. We conclude that both Hurst exponents and one …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005835781
correlations like those found in fractional Brownian motion. We construct a large set of scaling solutions of Fokker-Planck partial …. For the scaling solutions, we show how to reduce the calculation of the probability density to a single integration once … usual simple argument that H≠1/2 implies correlations fails for Markov processes with scaling solutions. Finally, we discuss …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005837307
Since Lėon Walras neoclassical economists hold an inalterable belief in a unique and stable equilibrium for the economic system, which remains to this day unobservable. Yet that belief is the corner stone of other theories such as the ‘Efficient Market Hypothesis’ as well as the philosophy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011111254
This paper investigates the sustainability of current accounts in advanced economies, using a panel of 27 countries and annual data over the 1980-2008 period. We find strong evidence in favour of nonlinear but stationary current-account trajectories for 14 countries, while the remaining 13...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011111601
The preponderance of the linear approach in the stock market modeling is the result of the Frisch-Slutsky paradigm which implies that the market can only converge to an equilibrium point or diverge, according to a monotonic or oscillatory trajectory. Moreover, this description of reality is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011156979
The surge of government debt during the post-global financial crisis and the ongoing euro zone sovereign debt crisis has begun raising concerns whether government debt levels have hit the tipping points. This study offers to contribute in the following ways: First, we find out whether the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011262867
The dynamics of government debt and economic growth, once a subject of interest mostly to very few macroeconomists is suddenly of immense attention for many researchers in the backdrop of Euro zone sovereign debt crisis and Reinhart & Rogoff’s related research. This study investigates the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011262868