Predicting the timing of currency and banking crises is likely to remain an elusive task for academics, financial market participants, and policymakers. Few foresaw the Asian crises and fewer still could have imagined their severity. However, recent events have highlighted the importance of...

A dynamic stochastic general equilibrium monetary model with incomplete and imperfect asset markets, monopolistic competition and staggered nominal price rigidities is developed to shed light on the role of exchange rate and its relation with current account dynamics in the formulation of...

The Moroccan economy suffers deeply from two exogenous shocks: high oil prices and drought periods. The irregular rainfall and instability of oil prices increase the volatility of economic growth and the uncertainty around growth forecasts. We exploit the vulnerability to these shocks in order...

This article seeks an empirical evidence for the existence of the J-curve phenomenon both in the short-run and long-run for Turkey over the period 1980-2005. The bounds testing cointegration approach is employed to estimate the trade balance model. An augmented form of Granger causality analysis...

This article seeks to survey the impact of a policy of opening to the trade balance and the competitive potential of the Tunisian economy by studying the impact of lower pricing and accompanying policies like a policy favorable exchange, growth in economic activity, the effort made in innovation...

The paper aims to find the long run and the short run relationships between trade balance, income, money supply, and real effective exchange rate for the period 1980 to 2011 in the case of Pakistan. The analysis is based on bounds testing approach to co-integration and error correction models,...

In the present work, we propose a coopetitive model applied to the Greek crisis, which aims both at improving the competitiveness of the Greek productive system and rebalancing the current account balance of the country. Our model of coopetition (based on normal form game theory) is conceived at...

The world economy has evolved in recent years amid some obvious inequalities and disparities nationally manifested on different levels, including the participation in international trade. This study took into account the two ways of approach, namely: evaluation and analysis of existing...

Since the EU accession, Romania’s agrifood trade increased significantly, in both volume and value terms. Although the old free trade agreements, that have been in force for the last 15 years, were discontinued when it joined the Single Market, Romania continued its trade relations with its...

The Gabonese economy is poorly diversified and highly dependent on crude petroleum’s international price, and therefore on the fluctuations in the exchange rate (REER). This study aims to determine the effect of real exchange rate on the trade balance of Gabon. The data are from World Bank...