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A simple model of decision making: How to avoid large outliers?
Varsanyi, Zoltan - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2008
In this paper I present a simple model through which I examine how large unwanted outcomes in a process subject to one’s decisions can be avoided. The paper has implications for decision makers in the field of economics, financial markets and also everyday life. Probably the most interesting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005260145
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Stochastic simulations on the Romanian macroeconomic model
Dobrescu, Emilian; Pauna, Bianca - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2007
values of key economic indicators, with no information regarding the associated uncertainty. Our assessment is that policy … makers would benefit if they would be given probabilities as well as values, and the methodology of stochastic simulation …, presented in this paper quantifies the uncertainty of the coefficients of the behavioural equations, on a reduced version of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009401315
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Theorem of existence of ruptures in probability scale. Preliminary short version.
Harin, Alexander - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2010
The theorems of existence of the ruptures have been proved. The ruptures can exist near the borders of finite intervals and of the probability scale. The theorems can be used, e.g., in economics and forecasting.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008574286
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Absolute vs. Relative Notion of Wealth Changes
Kontek, Krzysztof - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2009
This paper discusses solutions derived from lottery experiments using two alternative assumptions: that people perceive wealth changes as absolute amounts of money; and that people consider wealth changes as a proportion of some reference value dependant on the context of the problem under...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005089325
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Risk Analysis in Investment Appraisal
Savvides, Savvakis C. - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 1994
The methodology and uses of Monte-Carlo simulation technique are presented as applied to the analysis and assessment of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005836437
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Risk Analysis of Accounting Information System Infrastructure
MIHALACHE, Arsenie-Samoil - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2011
National economy and security are fully dependent on information technology and infrastructure. At the core of the information infrastructure society relies on, we have the Internet, a system designed initially as a scientists’ forum for unclassified research. The use of communication networks...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008871186
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Book Review: Risk analysis for Islamic banks by Hennie Van Greuning and Zamir Iqbal
Abdul Azim, Islahi - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2009
This a critical evaluation of the book entitled Risk analysis for Islamic banks by Hennie Van Greuning and Zamir Iqbal. It applies the modern methods of risk avoidance to Islamic banks wherever pertinent, or suggests alternative in cases where they are not applicable to Islamic banks because of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008595924
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Sensitivity analysis of scenario models for operational risk Advanced Measurement Approach
Chaudhary, Dinesh - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2014
Scenario Analysis (SA) plays a key role in determination of operational risk capital under Basel II Advanced Measurement Approach. However, operational risk capital based on scenario data may exhibit high sensitivity or wrong-way sensitivity to scenario inputs. In this paper, we first discuss...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011111586
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The Potential of Alternative Fuel Vehicles: A Cost-Benefit Analysis
Ito, Yutaka; Managi, Shunsuke - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2015
This study investigates the economic validity of the diffusion of fuel cell vehicles (FCVs) and all-electric vehicles (EVs), employing a cost-benefit analysis from the social point of view. This research assumes the amount of NOx and tank-to-wheel CO2 emissions and gasoline use reduction as the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011185697
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Cost Benefit Analysis of Participatory Natural Resource Management: A study of watershed development initiative in Indian village
Sahu, Santosh - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2008
Following the Hanumanth Rao committee report Government of India initiated Watershed Development Programmes (WDPs) to improve and sustain productivity of the semiarid regions of the country at higher level. The aim of such initiatives are also to fulfill the needs of rural communities for food,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005059091