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In the case of Romania, a sharp deterioration of the fiscal framework strength has been observed during post-crisis period, the public debt-to-GDP ratio currently reaching around 40%, thus doubling as compared to 2008. The structural analysis of government debt portfolio highlighted the main...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257864
The rapid increase in the government debt under the circumstances of the global crisis persistence and financial markets volatility raises the need for a new approach of public debt sustainability, including for Romania. Despite more intense contagion effects according to global markets...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011114081
The paper focuses on the current system of country risk assessment by the main rating agencies, pointing out some of its weaknesses. Under these circumstances, was found that Romania is overrated by the international agencies, mainly due to political reasons, related to the close accession of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008694139
The paper updates a warning launched by the author a year earlier regarding the effects of Inward/Outward Processing Trade flows, already entered a marginal decrease path. The high volatility of these flows, totally escaping the perception of decision makers, is threatening Romania’s...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008685042
Abstract Balance of Payments (BoP), being a record of the monetary transactions over a period with the rest of the world, reflects all payments and liabilities to foreigners and all payments and obligations received from foreigners. In this sense, the balance of payments is one of the major...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011260138
The objective of the study is to assess and analyze sustainability of overall public debt and sustainability of external debt of Pakistan using the debt dynamic equation for the period 1971-2008. The study has analyzed public debt sustainability through interest rate and growth rate differential...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011259292
The 2007/8 financial crisis exposed and exacerbated the debt pathologies of the ‘West’. The paper examines whether the new global debt relations that have been generated by this crisis have transformed global power politics, changing the way in which the ‘global South’ and the ‘global...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011259196
Schnabl and Freitag (2009) sketch the causal chain that produced the current account surplus in China and the current account deficit of the U.S. (as a part of global imbalances) as follows: declining interest rates in the U.S. cause a redirection of capital flows into the periphery, rising...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008470464
In this paper we stress the limits of the current debt sustainability framework used in the IMF-WB HIPC Initiative and the necessity to include domestic public debt into the analysis. The standard sustainability analysis does not take into account the fully-fledged budget constraint and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005836833
Looking to understand what drives countries' export growth in practice, I provide a decomposition of world export growth at the product variety level between new destinations, new products, and growth in value of old varieties. New destinations play a significant role, accounting for 37 percent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009001192