This paper compares the forecasting performance of three structural econometric models, namely the non-parametric, ARIMAX and the Kalman filter models, in predicting stock returns in an emerging market economy using South Africa as case study. The proposed models have different functional forms....

This paper constructs an alternative investment strategy to portfolio optimization model in the framework of the Mean–Variance portfolio selection model. To differentiate it from the ubiquitously applied Mean–Variance model, which is constructed on an assumption that returns are normally...

Abstract The sub-optimal savings propensity in South Africa the past three decades causes concern for the ability of the country to support its economic development. An historical analysis of the development of the savings’ trends in South Africa may assist in understanding the historical...