Showing 1 - 10 of 146
To reduce lead-time and its variability, modern supply and transportation contracts often specify the frequency of, and volume available for, future deliveries in advance even when final demand is somewhat uncertain (Yano and Gerchak [Yano, C. A., Y. Gerchak. 1989. Transportation contracts and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009197417
performing computations in these models. This paper develops, analyzes, and evaluates two simulation algorithms for intensity … Zeevi, stochastic models and simulation.</i> …Dynamic, intensity-based point process models are widely used to measure and price the correlated default risk in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010990537
, as is common in the literature. <i>This paper was accepted by Assaf Zeevi, stochastic models and simulation.</i> …Sequential sampling problems arise in stochastic simulation and many other applications. Sampling is used to infer the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010990579
accepted by Assaf Zeevi, stochastic models and simulation.</i> … below and above the hole, but not at the hole itself. We show that if the prior probability the product has high quality and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010990527
We integrate a case-based model of probability judgment with prospect theory to explore asset pricing under uncertainty …. Research within the "heuristics and biases" tradition suggests that probability judgments respond primarily to case … framework's predictions, distinct patterns of miscalibration are found for buying prices, selling prices, and probability …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010990558
accepted by Gérard P. Cachon, stochastic models and simulation.</i> …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010990568
No-arbitrage models are extremely flexible modelling tools but often lack economic motivation. This paper describes an … equilibrium pricing formulas while maintaining the same flexibility of state dynamics as in no-arbitrage models. In demonstrating …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009191102
This paper represents the text of a lecture invited by The Institute of Management Sciences (TIMS). In nontechnical terms it explains certain pitfalls involved in real life public health studies concerned with exposures to low-level irradiation. Two particular recently-announced studies are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009191203
The exact distribution of visiting rates does not appear to be widely known in the marketing literature. Here, analytical expressions are derived for the exact distribution, and their performance is compared with some known approximation. Some computer programs are provided for practical use.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009191242
The "gambler's fallacy" is the belief that the probability of an event is lowered when that event has recently occurred …, even though the probability of the event is objectively known to be independent from one trial to the next. This paper …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009192003