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The degree of substitution between private and public per capita consumption for the G7 countries is estimated over the period 1960 to 1996. Special attention is given to isolating both long-run and short-run substitution effects.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005581151
reversion in the error, rather than requiring the more stringent condition of stationarity. The paper presents a Bayesian method …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005149058
We review the past 25 years of time series research that has been published in journals managed by the International Institute of Forecasters (Journal of Forecasting 1982-1985; International Journal of Forecasting 1985-2005). During this period, over one third of all papers published in these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005427625
regression model to achieve global identification, and presented a method for estimating this model without using the ordering … restrictions imposed in previous Bayesian and frequentist approaches. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005427606
process. The inferential approach adopted is Bayesian, with estimation of the models proceeding via a Markov Chain Monte Carlo …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005427611
there is a controlled probability of the observed rates exceeding the stated limits is developed in this paper. A Bayesian …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005427613
A Bayesian approach to option pricing is presented, in which posterior inference about the underlying returns process …, as well as regime shifts across contract groups. The method is applied to intraday option price data on the S&P500 stock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005427614
integrated volatility and price jumps, to the specified model components; with Bayesian inference conducted using a Markov chain … Monte Carlo algorithm. The calculation of marginal likelihoods for the proposed and related models is discussed. An … bivariate jump diffusion. A state space representation is used to link observed returns, plus nonparametric measures of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011141014
this sampling procedure is demonstrated through Monte Carlo simulation studies. The proposed sampling algorithm is applied …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011105011
of the unknown parameters involved in the error density. A Monte Carlo simulation study shows that (i) the proposed … cross-validation. Moreover, we apply our proposed Bayesian bandwidth estimation method for the time-varying coefficient … constant estimator. In this paper, we propose a Bayesian approach to bandwidth estimation for local constant estimators of time …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011188646