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We present a theory of choice among lotteries in which the decision maker's attention is drawn to (precisely defined … distinguish it from Prospect Theory, which we test. We also use the model to modify the standard asset pricing framework, and use …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013038557
This paper focuses on Social Security benefit claiming behavior, a take-up decision that has been ignored in the previous literature. Using financial calculations and simulations based on an expected utility maximization model, we show that delaying benefit claim for a period of time after...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013221087
We argue that narrow framing, whereby an agent who is offered a new gamble evaluates that gamble in isolation, separately from other risks she already faces, may be a more important feature of decision-making under risk than previously realized. To demonstrate this, we present evidence on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012767726
Using implicit expected utility theory, a money metric of utility derived from playing a lottery game is developed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012771827
We find consistent evidence of negative autocorrelation in decision-making that is unrelated to the merits of the cases considered in three separate high-stakes field settings: refugee asylum court decisions, loan application reviews, and major league baseball umpire pitch calls. The evidence is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012997901
In this paper we analyze the problem of whether and/or when to replace a leader (agent) when no monetary rewards are available, and it is the leader's competence rather than effort that is being evaluated. The only decisions that the leader takes over time are whether to undertake risky but...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013050303
The appeal of expected utility theory as a basis for a descriptive model of risky decision making has diminished is a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012760030
Nearly all life-cycle models adopt Yaari's (1965) assumption that individuals know the survival probabilities that they face. Given that an individual's exact survival probabilities are likely unknown, we explore the implications of relaxing this assumption. If there is no annuity market, then...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012950059
When the cost of a suit exceeds the expected judgment, will a potential plaintiff be able to extract any amount in settlement from the defendant? If so, what is the source of the plaintiff's ability to extract a settlement? This essay discusses existing theories as to why (and when) plaintiffs...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013240952
inconsistent with subjective expected utility theory (SEU), the standard model of choice under uncertainty in financial economics …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013141267