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Factor supply increases (depresses) output for many of the same reasons that the government spending multiplier might …" and suggest that the government spending multiplier is less than one, even during the recession …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013147161
wages; in a fairly broad class of simple models, the multiplier is 1 in the case that the monetary authority maintains a … constant path for real interest rates. The multiplier can be considerably smaller, however, if the monetary authority raises … multiplier is especially plausible when monetary policy is constrained by the zero lower bound on nominal interest rates; in such …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013148368
Renewed interest in fiscal policy has increased the use of quantitative models to evaluate policy. Because of modelling uncertainty, it is essential that policy evaluations be robust to alternative assumptions. We find that models currently being used in practice to evaluate fiscal policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013313664
We study the effects of debt-financed fiscal transfers in a general equilibrium, heterogeneous-agent model of the world economy. In the long run, increases in government debt anywhere raise the world interest rate and increase private wealth everywhere. In the short run, a country with a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014081636
The Great Recession and the Global Financial Crisis have left many developed countries with low interest rates and high levels of public debt, thus limiting the ability of policymakers to fight the next recession. Whether new fiscal stimulus programs would be jeopardized by these already heavy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012948076
A geographic cross-sectional fiscal spending multiplier measures the effect of an increase in spending in one region in … Reinvestment Act and a survey of empirical studies, my preferred point estimate for a cross-sectional output multiplier is 1 ….8. Economic theory of how to map these multipliers into a national multiplier has also advanced. Drawing on the theoretical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012951882
The impact of fiscal policy on economic activity is still a matter of great debate. And, ever since Keynes first commented on it, interwar Britain, 1918- 1939, has remained a particularly contentious case | not least because of its high debt environment and turbulent business cycle. This debate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012917612
We show how real and financial frictions amplify the impact of uncertainty shocks. We build a model with real frictions, and find adding financial frictions roughly doubles the impact of uncertainty shocks. Higher uncertainty alongside financial frictions induces the standard real-options...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012919868
We measure the size of the fiscal multiplier using a heterogeneous-agent model with incomplete markets, capital and ….We find that market incompleteness is key to determining the size of the fiscal multiplier, which is uniquely determined in … our model for any combination of fiscal and monetary policies of interest. The multiplier is 1.34 if deficit-financed and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892557
This paper takes stock of what we have learned from the “Renaissance” in fiscal research in the ten years since the financial crisis. I first summarize the new innovations in methodology and discuss the various strengths and weaknesses of the main approaches. Reviewing the estimates, I come...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012893136