This paper investigates whether permanent monetary tightenings increase inflation in the short run. It estimates, using … increases in the nominal interest-rate lead, in accordance with conventional wisdom, to a decrease in inflation and output and … an immediate increase in inflation and output and a decline in real rates. Permanent monetary shocks explain more than 40 …

matters for stabilization policy is the rate of inflation, not the rate of wage change. This paper provides new estimates of … result in the paper is that wage changes do not contribute statistically to the explanation of inflation. Deviations in the … growth of labor cost from the path of inflation cause changes in labor's income share, and changes in the profit share in the …

A relation between inflation and the path of average marginal cost (often measured by unit labor cost) implied by the … is shown to again take the standard "new-Keynesian" form, but with an elasticity of inflation with respect to real …

This paper provides an explanation for the run-up of U.S. inflation in the 1960s and 1970s and the sharp disinflation … by low inflation. However, prolonged episodes of high inflation ending with rapid disinflations can occur when … policymakers underestimate both the natural rate of unemployment and the persistence of inflation in the Phillips curve. I estimate …

perspective on the linkages among monetary policy, inflation, and the business cycle. It is argued that the adoption of an …

This paper examines the shift in the relation between the inflation rate and the rate of growth of real output which … possible lines of explanation: a) the new classical view of the output-inflation tradeoff, initially specified by Lucas;b) the … effect of supply-side shocks, such as energy prices; c) the effect of inflation variability on the natural rate of real …

This paper first outlines the key stylized facts about changes in inflation dynamics in recent years: 1) inflation … persistence has declined, 2) the Phillips curve has flattened, and 3) inflation has become less responsive to other shocks. These … changes in inflation dynamics are interpreted as resulting from an anchoring of inflation expectations as a result of better …

This paper examines the effects of expected inflation on the responsiveness of output to nominal disturbances in the … framework of a localized markets model. The mechanism described in the theoretical part of the paper is that expected inflation … sensitivity of real output to these socks. The empirical implication of this proposition -- namely ,that expected inflation …

problem implies that the monetary authority's inflation target evolves as its estimated Phillips curve moves. Our estimates … attribute the rise and fall of post WWII inflation in the US to an intricate interaction between the monetary authority … tradeoff between inflation and unemployment. That caused a sharp rise in inflation in the 1970s. Our estimates say that …