Showing 1 - 10 of 449
from greater volatility of shocks or from agents responding more to shocks of constant size. Without data separately … relationship arises naturally in models with time-varying responsiveness but is at odds with models featuring volatility shocks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012963184
Using linked employer-employee data for the U.S., we examine whether shocks to firm revenues are transmitted to the earnings of continuing employees. While full insurance is rejected, the elasticity of worker earnings with respect to persistent shocks in firm revenues is small and consistent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012964398
What are the implications of gasoline price volatility for the design of fuel economy policies? I show that this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012965951
an increase in the level and volatility of spot prices. We construct a large panel data set which includes commodities …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012948088
shocks using methods from the news shocks literature, the analysis finds that innovations in realized stock market volatility … economy. Moreover, investors have historically paid large premia to hedge shocks to realized but not implied volatility. A … model in which fundamental shocks are skewed left can match those facts. Aggregate volatility matters, but it is the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012948093
volatility data from options of 30 days to 10 years duration. We ask what may be driving uncertainty over these different time … horizons, finding that oil price volatility is particularly important for short-run uncertainty, policy uncertainty is … particularly important for long-run uncertainty, while currency volatility and CEO turnover appear to equally impact short- and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012948927
I extend the classical general equilibrium treatment of uncertainty about exogenous states of nature to uncertainty about prices. Traders do not know the prices at which markets will clear but have expectations over possible prices. They trade price-contingent securities (derivatives) to insure...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012949397
level of the fundamentals. Though volatility shocks could be important too, their propagating mechanism is still not well … can separate the level factors from the volatility factors and assess their relative importance without directly … estimating the volatility processes. This is made possible by exploiting features in the second order approximation of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012949929
Stock return volatility during the Great Depression has been labeled a “volatility puzzle” because the standard …, and Jones; 1990). We investigate the “volatility puzzle” using a new series of building permits, a forward-looking measure … of economic activity. Our results suggest that the volatility of building permit growth largely explains the high level …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012953001
the associations of growth level, growth volatility, shocks, institutions, and macroeconomic fundamentals have changed in … growth, global oil prices, and global financial volatility. After accounting for the effects global shocks, we find that … attainment, and lack of political polarization reduce the volatility of economic growth. Countries cope with shocks better in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012954940