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Household investors chase stock market returns. Surveys suggest that households intend to "ride the bubble" by buying …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013049679
We show that the stock market may fail to aggregate information even if it appears to be efficient, and that the resulting decrease in the information content of prices may drastically reduce welfare. We solve a macroeconomic model in which information about fundamentals is dispersed and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013125571
We show that quot;commodity currencyquot; exchange rates have remarkably robust power in predicting global commodity prices, both in-sample and out-of-sample, and against a variety of alternative benchmarks. This result is of particular interest to policymakers, given the lack of deep forward...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012759436
establishment of currency unions, the monetizing of recently acquired colonies, preferential trade arrangements, and customs unions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012759567
A central assumption of open economy macro models with nominal rigidities relates to the currency in which goods are … priced, whether there is so-called producer currency pricing or local currency pricing. This has important implications for … exchange rate pass-through and optimal exchange rate policy. We show, using novel transaction level information on currency and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012759802
The case for monetary simplification and unification has been made since the middle of the nineteenth century. It rests on four principal arguments ;reduced transaction costs; establishing credibility; preventing bad policy in other states; political integration via money. In this paper we argue...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012767361
Over time, there has been a tendency for political jurisdictions and residents to converge on a single currency … uniform currency, insofar as it is free of counterparty and liquidity risk, facilitates economic activity. But will digital … maintain their stability is doubtful. The one unit that can clearly meet these challenges is central bank digital currency. But …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012895472
We develop a novel, risk-based theory of the effects of currency manipulation. In our model, the choice of exchange … rate regime allows policymakers to make their currency, and by extension, the firms in their country, a safer investment … for international investors. Policies that induce a country's currency to appreciate when the marginal utility of inter …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012980182
attempted to manage a successful common currency when sub-national political entities were allowed to have separate currencies … and run independent monetary policies. Congress created a common currency that was too large to use in ordinary … transactions. Congress hoped this currency would be held for post-war redemption and would not circulate as money during the war …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013011916
quality” to the international currency. However, in the Euro crisis, that of the Sterling pound became equally low, while the … deviations across the European currencies in the two crises. Currency-specific money market risk was critical in explaining the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012999986