Showing 1 - 10 of 7,750
This paper presents a stylized model of international trade and asset price bubbles. Its central insight is that … bubbles tend to appear and expand in countries where productivity is low relative to the rest of the world. These bubbles … productivity countries. Through this channel, bubbles act as substitute for international capital flows, improving the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013224919
experienced consumption booms. National asset bubbles explain the international imbalances. The bubbles raised consumption …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013147602
Emerging market economies are fertile ground for the development of real estate and other financial bubbles. Despite … value in the developed world. Bubbles are beneficial because they provide domestic stores of value and thereby reduce … capital flow reversals. We show that domestic financial underdevelopment not only facilitates the emergence of bubbles, but …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012784276
This paper characterizes the capital flows in Asia before and after the Asian currency crisis of 1997. Differences in foreign direct investment, portfolio investment, and bank lending are emphasized. There are common factors and idiosyncratic factors to the role of capital flows in the currency...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013221289
Weaknesses in banking systems are rooted in government credit-allocation preferences that prove unsupportable in private markets. Losses that preferential loans impose on lending banks and on the governmental safety net can be covered up for awhile, but not indefinitely. A silent run begins when...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763834
these linked bubbles primarily focus on the irrationality of investor speculation and the corresponding stock price behavior … examine a broad cross‐section of security price data to evaluate the causes of the bubbles. Using newly collected stock prices … in 1720. Our findings are consistent with the hypothesis that financial bubbles require a plausible story to justify …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013039339
The recent theory of exchange rate dynamics within a target zone holds that exchange rates under a currency bard are … rational bubbles does not occur in the foreign exchange market. In this paper we consider instead a setup in which the … the presence of bubbles is viable if the Central Bank accommodates speculative attacks when the latter are consistent with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013222244
We analyze the relationship between asset price bubbles and systemic risk, using bank-level data covering almost thirty … years. Systemic risk of banks rises already during a bubble’s build-up phase, and even more so during its bust. The increase …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013224874
deterministic bubbles and stochastic bubbles, for a model of inflation and for a model of the evolution of price and quantity in the … market fora storable commodity, such as gold. The analysis focuses on stochastic bubbles as a possibility peculiarly … points to no compelling reason to rule out rational stochastic bubbles apriori, conventional behavioral assumptions imply …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013226584
This paper specifies and estimates a structural dynamic stochastic model of the way individuals make retirement and saving choices in an uncertain world, and applies that model to analyze the effects of the stock market bubble on retirement behavior. The model includes individual variation both...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013240543