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It is striking how often countries with oil or other natural resource wealth have failed to grow more rapidly than those without. This is the phenomenon known as the Natural Resource Curse. The principle has been borne out in some econometric tests of the determinants of economic performance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013145250
Russia is often considered a perfect example of the so-called "resource curse"--the argument that natural resource wealth tends to undermine democracy. Given high oil prices, some observers see the country as virtually condemned to authoritarian government for the foreseeable future. Reexamining...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013148670
We establish a theoretical as well as empirical framework to assess the role of resource endowments and their geographic location for inter-State conflict. The main predictions of the theory are that conflict tends to be more likely when at least one country has natural resources; when the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013083090
regular payments from the Alaska Permanent Fund, with a large average marginal propensity to consume (MPC) of 30% for … estimated MPCs are monotonically decreasing in the loss and increasing in income for households with sufficient liquidity. I …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013010719
Starting in 1982, the Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend allows each full-time resident in Alaska, including infants born … in the qualifying year, to receive a sizable dividend. This dividend, which represents a form of a Universal Basic Income …-in-differences models to account for confounding factors and unobserved heterogeneity, we model the effect of income on fertility by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013310153
this is primarily a consequence of rising real per capita income, which more than doubled over the same period. We … investigate this hypothesis empirically by instrumenting for local area income with time-series variation in global oil prices … an increase in income on health expenditures. Our central estimate is an income elasticity of 0.7, with an elasticity of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012764832
unconditional cross-sectional moments of household consumption growth and the moments of the risk-free rate, equity premium, price-dividend … ratio, and aggregate dividend and consumption growth. The model-implied risk-free rate and price-dividend ratio are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013054039
We develop a general equilibrium model in which income and dividends are smooth, but asset prices are subject to large … conditional volatility of income process. An important prediction of the model is that income volatility predicts future jumps …, while the variation in the level of income does not. We find that indeed in the data large moves in returns are predicted by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013221105
A Growing share of Emerging Markets (EMs) use hybrid versions of inflation targeting (IT) that differ from the IT regimes of OECD countries. Policy interest rates among commodity countries are impacted by real exchange rate and international reserves (IR) changes, aiming at stabilizing their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012861220
We analyze the degree to which the growing importance of sovereign wealth funds [SWFs] and the diffusion of inflation targeting and augmented Taylor rules have impacted the post crisis adjustment of Latin American Countries (LATAM) to the challenges associated with terms of trade and financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013044618