discounting. A commonly recognized bias of standard elicitation techniques is the use of linear preferences for identification … utility function curvature. We present a new methodology for identifying time preferences, both discounting and utility … obtained, dynamically consistent discounting, and limited though significant utility function curvature …

thereafter, which is inconsistent with exponential discounting but consistent with hyperbolic discounting. The implied marginal … rate of time preference declines and then rises. Estimates of the quasi-hyperbolic discounting parameter range from 0.48 to …

, including portfolio theory, accounting, cost of capital, capital structure, compensation, and macroeconomics …

, which can account for many of the known intertemporal choice anomalies, to discounting models. We conduct an out …-of-sample, cross-validated comparison of intertemporal choice models. Heuristic models outperform traditional utility discounting … models, including models of exponential and hyperbolic discounting. The best performing models predict choices by using a …

Is the standard hyperbolic-discounting model capable of robust qualitative predictions for savings behavior? Despite …

and combining those signals with priors to form posteriors. These posterior expectations exhibit as-if discounting: agents … forecasting (e.g., those with more intelligence) exhibit less discounting. Agents with more domain-relevant experience exhibit … less discounting. Older agents exhibit less discounting (except those with cognitive decline). Agents who are encouraged to …

can be distinguished from an exponential economy. First, hyperbolic discounting predicts the empirical regularity that the …, hyperbolic discounting explains many features of the policy debate about undersaving. The calibrated hyperbolic economy matches …