Showing 1 - 10 of 7,850
parameters of the best linear approximation is characterized via its support function, and limit theory is developed for the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013312500
that background, we explore whether incorporating stochastic volatility improves DSGE forecasts (point, interval, and … policy rate. We find that incorporating stochastic volatility in DSGE models of macroeconomic fundamentals markedly improves … their density forecasts, just as incorporating stochastic volatility in models of financial asset returns improves their …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012983417
-diffusions, and models of stochastic volatility. This paper explores the statistical properties of these models with a view to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012774952
This paper extends the widely used ordered choice model by introducing stochastic thresholds and interval-specific outcomes. The model can be interpreted as a generalization of the GAFT (MPH) framework for discrete duration data that jointly models durations and outcomes associated with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012776466
The outcome of any important macroeconomic policy change is the net effect of forces operating on different parts of the economy. A central challenge facing policy makers is how to assess the relative strength of those forces. Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) models are the leading...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012914719
Volatility has been one of the most active areas of research in empirical finance and time series econometrics during … categorizing the various volatility concepts, measurement procedures, and modeling procedures. We define three different volatility … concepts: (i) the notional volatility corresponding to the ex-post sample-path return variability over a fixed time interval …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013324645
Recently there has been a great deal of interest in modeling volatility fluctuations. ARCH models, for example, provide … parsimonious approximations to volatility dynamics. Here we provide a selective amount of certain aspects of conditional volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013222332
Simple regression tests that have power against the alternatives that. asset prices and expected future asset returns are excessively volatile are developed and performed for the foreign exchange and stock markets. These tests have a number of advantages over alternative, variance hounds...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012786275
intraday data and nonparametric volatility measures, along with a new jump detection technique and appropriate conditional … alleviate microstructure frictions for realized volatility estimation. Size and power of the procedure are explored through …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012777343
It appears that volatility in equity markets is asymmetric: returns and conditional volatility are negatively … correlated. We provide a unified framework to simultaneously investigate asymmetric volatility at the firm and the market level … empirical evidence on asymmetry to Japanese stocks. Although volatility asymmetry is present and significant at the market and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012783965