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We evaluate possible explanations for the absence of a persistent decline in inflation during the Great Recession and find commonly suggested explanations to be insufficient. We propose a new explanation for this puzzle within the context of a standard Phillips curve. If firms' inflation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013073561
We implement a new approach for the identification of news shocks about future technology. In a VAR featuring a measure of aggregate technology and several forward-looking variables, we identify the news shock as the shock orthogonal to technology innovations that best explains future variation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013156463
(4) deflation. A closer examination of how Japan got into the Japanization state reveals that it is a combination of (a … actual real interest rate; (3) the nominal (policy) interest rate is zero; (4) deflation, i.e., negative inflation rate. As a … 1990. Since 2009, major advanced countries have shared conditions (1)-(3). Only Japan has experienced a prolonged period of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012999465
The paper aims at explaining why the Bank of Japan has not adopted inflation targeting, despite calls for such a policy …. Disclosed minutes of the Monetary Policy Meetings of the Bank of Japan, after March 1998, as well as Speeches by its members … give clues to changing reasons against inflation targeting. Inflation targeting was not adopted in Japan in the early years …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013218428
Existing proposals to escape from a liquidity trap and deflation, including my Foolproof Way,' are discussed in the … conclude that the Foolproof Way is likely to work well for Japan, which is in a liquidity trap now, as well as for the euro …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013228748
of Japan's rhetoric was not helpful in fighting deflation, and the interest rate hike in August 2000 amid deflation was a …This paper reviews Japanese monetary policy over the last two decades with an emphasis on the experience of deflation … serious mistake. Deflation can be quite costly, and a key element in both preventing and escaping deflation is the management …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013100365
In this paper, I show that Japan will not be able to have a viable banking sector without stopping deflation. The … Services Agency (FSA), to make new loans to small and medium companies; and deflation-weakened borrowers. I expect that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013248394
The paper considers the macroeconomic transmission of demand and supply shocks in an open economy under alternative assumptions on whether the zero interest floor (ZIF) is binding. It uses a two-country general-equilibrium simulation model calibrated to the Japanese economy vis-a-vis the rest of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012760525
Between 1992 and 2002, the Japanese Import Price Index registered a decline of almost 9 percent and Japan entered a … period of deflation. We show that much of the correlation between import prices and domestic prices was due to formula biases …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012759379
targeted-inflation regime and a deflation regime and fit it to data from the U.S. and Japan. For the U.S. we find that adverse … subsequently. In contrast, Japan has experienced a switch to the deflation regime in 1999 and remained there since then, except for … effect in the deflation regime (Japan) …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013078597