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inflation rates in shaping the response of real exchange rates to shocks. We document two facts about inflation … rate is a poor predictor of future inflation rates. We estimate a medium-size DSGE open-economy model that accounts … that accounts for the dynamics of exchange rates and their covariance with inflation are disturbances to the foreign demand …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012963169
base control in Japan …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138705
their role in influencing the credibility of the monetary authority. We focus on measures of inflation expectations, the … mean reversion properties of inflation, and indicators of exchange rate risk. In addition we place some emphasis on whether …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013030622
the adoption of inflation targeting. However, the recent financial crisis and the call for central banks to focus more on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013043621
stable inflation behavior will be generated -- is incorrect. This is because New Keynesian (NK) models are typically … consistent with the existence of RE paths with explosive inflation rates (in addition to one or more stable paths) that normally … imply the absence of explosive inflation. That result does not, however, justify negative conclusions about NK analysis. For …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013239190
This paper characterizes the properties of various interest-rate rules in a basic forward-looking model. We compare simple Taylor rules and rules that respond to price-level fluctuations (called Wicksellian rules). We argue that by introducing an appropriate amount of history dependence in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013143464
This paper documents the evolution of long-run inflation expectations and models the stance of monetary policy from … 1965 to 1980. A host of survey-based measures and financial market data indicate that long-run inflation expectations rose … with a constant inflation goal, our analysis indicates that the path of policy can be characterized by a reaction function …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013149298
mechanically, buying and selling bonds in accordance with a Taylor policy rule based on expected inflation. In this setting we show … that stock market returns are much less than one-for-one related to inflation over a one-year holding period, which means …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013405031
forecasts of inflation and employment “look good,” in the sense of best fulfilling the dual mandate of price stability and … maximum employment, that is, best stabilize inflation around the inflation target and employment around its maximum level. It … also means publishing the policy-rate path and the forecasts of inflation and employment forecasts and, importantly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012943621
interest rate in response to inflation and either the output or the unemployment gap, for the euro/dollar exchange rate with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013101336