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Recent work has analyzed the forecasting performance of standard dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models, but little attention has been given to DSGE models that incorporate nonlinearities in exogenous driving processes. Against that background, we explore whether incorporating...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012983417
The outcome of any important macroeconomic policy change is the net effect of forces operating on different parts of the economy. A central challenge facing policy makers is how to assess the relative strength of those forces. Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) models are the leading...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012914719
We develop a new class of nonlinear time-series models to identify nonlinearities in the data and to evaluate nonlinear DSGE models. U.S. output growth and the federal funds rate display nonlinear conditional mean dynamics, while inflation and nominal wage growth feature conditional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013071908
This paper makes the following original contributions to the literature. (1) We develop a simpler analytical characterization and numerical algorithm for Bayesian inference in structural vector autoregressions that can be used for models that are overidentified, just-identified, or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013040238
While dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models for monetary policy analysis have come a long way, there is considerable difference of opinion over the role these models should play in the policy process. The paper develops three main points about assessing the value of these models....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013109444
Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) models are often solved and estimated under specific assumptions as to whether the exogenous variables are difference or trend stationary. However, even mild departures of the data generating process from these assumptions can severely bias the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013152087
We propose a method for solving and estimating linear rational expectations models that exhibit indeterminacy and we provide step-by-step guidelines for implementing this method in the Matlab-based packages Dynare and Gensys. Our method redefines a subset of expectational errors as new...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013075856
generalized data tempering for “online” estimation (that is, re-estimating a model as new data become available), and provide … examples of multimodal posteriors that are well captured by SMC methods. We then use the online estimation of the DSGE model to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013323879
In this paper, I review the literature on the formulation and estimation of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012757950
disparate traditions. I make the case for unity between Post-Keynesian and General Equilibrium Theory under the banner of Post …-Keynesian Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Theory …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012964394