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modestly negative long-run multipliers around -0.42. The multiplier is sensitive to the fraction of transfers given to credit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013123984
After the Global Financial Crisis a controversial rush to fiscal austerity followed in many countries. Yet research on the effects of austerity on macroeconomic aggregates was and still is unsettled, mired by the difficulty of identifying multipliers from observational data. This paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013076565
Renewed interest in fiscal policy has increased the use of quantitative models to evaluate policy. Because of modelling uncertainty, it is essential that policy evaluations be robust to alternative assumptions. We find that models currently being used in practice to evaluate fiscal policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013313664
We study the effects of debt-financed fiscal transfers in a general equilibrium, heterogeneous-agent model of the world economy. In the long run, increases in government debt anywhere raise the world interest rate and increase private wealth everywhere. In the short run, a country with a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014081636
We provide explicit solutions for government spending multipliers during a liquidity trap and within a fixed exchange regime using standard closed and open-economy models. We confirm the potential for large multipliers during liquidity traps. For a currency union, we show that self-financed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013100679
canonical medium scale DSGE model. When monetary policy is characterized by a Taylor rule, the output multiplier (the change in … cycle, whereas the welfare multiplier (the consumption equivalent change in a measure of aggregate welfare for the same …. The welfare multiplier is still procyclical under passive monetary policy, albeit less so than under a Taylor rule …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013071512
We use Bayesian prior and posterior analysis of a monetary DSGE model, extended to include fiscal details and two distinct monetary-fiscal policy regimes, to quantify government spending multipliers in U.S. data. The combination of model specification, observable data, and relatively diffuse...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013017938
The fiscal “multiplier” seeks to measure how many additional dollars of output are gained or lost for each dollar of … fiscal expansion or contraction. In practice, the multiplier at any point in time depends on the monetary policy response and …-based approach, we show how to quantify the importance of these monetary-fiscal interactions. In the data, the fiscal multiplier …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013306480
. It uses trade linkages to estimate the multiplier effects of a shock as it is transmitted through other countries' output … multiplier effects are large and significant and can transmit shocks in very different patterns than predicted from a bilateral …-trade matrix. For example, due to these output-multiplier effects, a shock to one country can have a large impact on countries that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013292459
A growing body of evidence finds that policy reaction functions vary substantially over different periods in the United States. This paper explores how moving to an environment in which monetary and fiscal regimes evolve according to a Markov process can change the impacts of policy shocks. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013323486