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We develop a tractable and flexible stochastic volatility multi-factor model of the term structure of interest rates …-coupon bond options and dynamics of the forward rate curve, under both the actual and risk-neutral measure, in terms of a finite …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012761268
pricing" of American-type bond options when the underlying term structure of interest rates follows a Poisson-Gaussian process …) introducing a more generalized volatility specification than has been used so far, and (ii) inducting jumps, yet retaining lattice …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013249269
Mathematical models of bond pricing are used by both academics and Wall Street practitioners, with practitioners … factors, stochastic volatility, and/or non-normal interest rate distributions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012774974
Most affine models of the term structure with stochastic volatility (SV) predict that the variance of the short rate is …;unspanned stochastic volatility (USV).quot; Of the models tested, only the A1(4) USV model is found to generate both realistic volatility … estimates and a good cross-sectional fit. Our findings suggests that interest rate volatility cannot be extracted from the cross …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012783833
-maturity default-free bonds. The volatility of the long end of the term structure and its relationship with monetary policy are …, specifically stochastic volatility models combined with Epstein-Zin recursive utility, can account for such patterns. We study the … historical bond data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012759951
empirical fact that the term structure of interest rate volatility has a hump-shaped pattern on employment report days (but not … on other days). The model also produces patterns in bond risk premia that are consistent with the empirical finding that … much of the time-variation in excess bond returns accrues at times of important macroeconomic data releases …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013043278
The object of this paper is to test several familiar hypotheses about the relationship between the forward rates implied by the term structure and interest rate expectations, using the one ongoing systematic survey that samples market participants' expectations. The substitution of survey data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013323586
Since the Global Financial Crisis, rates on interest rate swaps have fallen below maturity matched U.S. Treasury rates across different maturities. Swap rates represent future uncollateralized borrowing between banks. Treasuries should be expensive and produce yields that are lower than those of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013324707
time varying and strongly related to measures of bond-specific illiquidity as well as to macroeconomic measures of bond …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012785748
This paper presents techniques for modelling and estimating the behavior of financial market price or return differentials that follow non-linear regime-switching behaviour. The methodology to be used here is estimation of variants of threshold autoregression (TAR) models. In the basic model the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012783699