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findings of the empirical literature: excess volatility of the market price compared to the asset's fundamental value, serially … correlated volatility, contemporaneous volume-volatility correlation, and excess kurtosis of price changes. We implement a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013222624
generates stock volatility that is higher than long-horizon dividend volatility, even with constant market prices of risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013099417
This paper studies the pricing of volatility risk using the first-order conditions of a long-term equity investor who … volatility. Empirically, we present novel evidence that low-frequency movements in equity volatility, tied to the default spread …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013100357
-varying volatility, skewness and kurtosis in fundamentals while still permitting closed-form solutions for asset prices. The model not …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013151389
. First, subjective probability adjustments add volatility to the stochastic discount factor, and can rationalize any pattern … consistent with empirical results reported here, and in the previous literature documenting stochastic discount factor volatility …. Several recent theories of stochastic discount factor volatility can, from the aggregate point of view, be interpreted as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012785961
This paper presents a bound on the variance of the price-dividend ratio and a decomposition of the variance of the price-dividend ratio into components that reflect variation in expected future discount rates and variation in expected future dividend growth. Unobserved discount rates needed to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012762729
Excess volatility tests for financial market efficiency maintain the hypothesis of risk-neutrality. This permits the …-stationarity (including bubbles) and finite samples. Standard excess volatility tests are joint tests of market efficiency and risk neutrality …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012762911
impose tight upper and lower bounds on the implied volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763033
-horizon predictability of excess stock returns, and the countercyclical variation of stock market volatility. Our model has an i … those of the static CAPM. Our model captures much of the history of stock prices, given only consumption data. Since our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763558
Three concepts: stochastic discount factors, multi-beta pricing and mean variance efficiency, are at the core of modern empirical asset pricing. This paper reviews these paradigms and the relations among them, concentrating on conditional asset pricing models where lagged variables serve as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012767785