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parameters of the best linear approximation is characterized via its support function, and limit theory is developed for the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013312500
-Gaussianity. Variance risk premiums on equity are very informative about risk aversion, whereas credit spreads and corporate bond volatility …We develop measures of time-varying risk aversion and economic uncertainty that are calculated from financial variables … dynamics among asset-specific cash flows, macroeconomic fundamentals and risk aversion feature heteroskedasticity and non …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012889979
volatility of risk-free rates. We propose a model that is immune to these critiques and solves this puzzle by allowing for …Recent critiques have demonstrated that existing attempts to account for the unemployment volatility puzzle of search … preferences that generate time-varying risk over the cycle, and so account for observed asset pricing fluctuations, and for human …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012857716
results in a state-dependent idiosyncratic risk premium that is higher when average idiosyncratic volatility is low, and vice …In Merton (1987), idiosyncratic risk is priced in equilibrium as a consequence of incomplete diversification. We modify … his model to allow the degree of diversification to vary with average idiosyncratic volatility. This simple recognition …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012997911
A recent literature has developed that combines two prominent empirical approaches to ex ante policy evaluation: randomized controlled trials (RCT) and structural estimation. The RCT provides a "gold-standard'' estimate of a particular treatment, but only of that treatment. Structural estimation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013073955
We propose a nonparametric method to test which characteristics provide independent information for the cross section of expected returns. We use the adaptive group LASSO to select characteristics and to estimate how they affect expected returns nonparametrically. Our method can handle a large...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012960787
shape of the negative market jump tail risk which is not spanned by market volatility. Incidents of such tail shape shifts … short-term risks. Such short-dated options provide an easy and direct way to study market volatility and jump risks. Unlike … longer-dated options, they are largely insensitive to the risk of intertemporal shifts in the economic environment, i …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013017079
Asset pricing models such as the conditional CAPM are typically estimated with MLE using a monthly or quarterly horizon with data sampled to match the horizon even though daily data are available. We develop an overlapping data inference methodology (ODIN) that uses all of the data while...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013056866
assumptions and hence afford estimates of notional volatility that are flexible yet consistent (as the sampling frequency of the …Volatility has been one of the most active areas of research in empirical finance and time series econometrics during … categorizing the various volatility concepts, measurement procedures, and modeling procedures. We define three different volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013324645
shocks using methods from the news shocks literature, the analysis finds that innovations in realized stock market volatility … economy. Moreover, investors have historically paid large premia to hedge shocks to realized but not implied volatility. A … model in which fundamental shocks are skewed left can match those facts. Aggregate volatility matters, but it is the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012948093