Most of the future growth in energy use is forecast to come from the developing world. Understanding the likely pace … and specific location of this growth is essential to inform decisions about energy infrastructure investments and to … improve greenhouse gas emissions forecasts. We argue that countries with pro-poor economic growth will experience larger …

Do shocks to government spending raise or lower consumption and real wages? Standard VAR identification approaches show … difference in the approaches is the timing. Both professional forecasts and the narrative approach shocks Granger-cause the VAR … shocks, implying that the VAR shocks are missing the timing of the news. Simulations from a standard neoclassical model in …

-to-year variation in cyclone strikes to identify the causal effect of environmental disasters on long-run growth. We compare each … country's growth rate to itself in the years immediately before and after exposure, accounting for the distribution of … cyclones in preceding years. The data reject hypotheses that disasters stimulate growth or that short-run losses disappear …

says that growth harms the environment at low levels of income and helps at high levels, and to support the proposition … that openness to trade accelerates the growth process …

We provide evidence that the robust association between cognitive skills and economic growth reflects a causal effect … sensitivity analyses of cross-country growth regressions generate remarkably stable results across specifications, time periods …, and country samples. In addressing causality, we find, first, significant growth effects of cognitive skills when …

experience. In contrast to the East Asian experience, none of the recent growth accelerations in Latin America, Africa, or South … rapid within-sector labor productivity growth (Latin America) or growth-increasing structural change (Africa), but rarely …Growth has accelerated in a wide range of developing countries over the last couple of decades, resulting in an …

Using country- and region-level data, I investigate the effect of HIV/AIDS on fertility in Africa during 1985 …