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Model (FEM), a demographic and economic state-transition microsimulation model that projects the health conditions and … simulation suggests that by 2040, over 27 percent of Japan's elderly will exhibit 3 or more limitations in IADLs and social …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013001226
simulation model. In addition to describing general transition (as opposed to simply long run) affects of fertility change, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013249582
The present paper analyzes the budgetary impact of various Social Security reforms in the Belgian institutional setting. Our approach relies on parameters that were derived in Dellis et alii (2002) using a micro-modeling strategy. focusing our attention on a hypothetical age cohort, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014089270
-cycle simulation model to study these conflicting forces. The model is the first of its kind to admit realistic patterns of fertility … study both intra- and intergenerational equity. Unfortunately, our baseline demographic simulation, which assumes the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013218306
The extent of the demographic changes in Europe is dramatic and will deeply affect future labor, financial and goods markets. The expected strain on public budgets and especially social security has already received prominent attention, but aging poses many other economic challenges that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013147613
We argue theoretically and document empirically that aging leads to greater (industrial) automation, and in particular, to more intensive use and development of robots. Using US data, we document that robots substitute for middle-aged workers (those between the ages of 36 and 55). We then show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012924461
Growth in overall real welfare expenditures per capita has been a noted trend in the last thirty years in the U.S. The influence of demographic forces in contributing to this growth is considered in this paper. It is found that the growth of female-headed families is the strongest and dominant...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013247399
A two-period lifetime overlapping generations growth model is used to evaluate the possibility that social insurance can effectively offset economic risks associated with uncertainty about the rate of population growth. Crude measures of the seriousness of this type of risk in the current United...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013217233
The share of the population aged 60 and over is projected to increase in nearly every country in the world during 2005-2050. Population ageing will tend to lower both labor-force participation and savings rates, thereby raising concerns about a future slowing of economic growth. Our calculations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013131060
In all societies intergenerational transfers are large and have an important influence on inequality and growth. The development of each generation of youth depends on the resources that it receives from productive members of society for health, education, and sustenance. The well-being of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012760498