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: (1) financial crisis is unlikely to happen in the near future, and (2) the ultimate risk lies with China's economic …Motivated by growing concerns about the risks and instability of China's financial system, this article reviews several … commonly perceived financial risks and discusses their roots in China's politico-economic institutions. We emphasize the need …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012929553
We provide evidence on the relationship between aggregate uncertainty and the macroeconomy. Identifying uncertainty shocks using methods from the news shocks literature, the analysis finds that innovations in realized stock market volatility are robustly followed by contractions, while shocks to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012948093
power for expected returns across a range of equity characteristic portfolios and non-equity asset classes, with risk price … estimates that are of the same sign and similar in magnitude. Positive exposure to capital share risk earns a positive risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013040236
We develop measures of time-varying risk aversion and economic uncertainty that are calculated from financial variables … dynamics among asset-specific cash flows, macroeconomic fundamentals and risk aversion feature heteroskedasticity and non …-Gaussianity. Variance risk premiums on equity are very informative about risk aversion, whereas credit spreads and corporate bond volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012889979
data on both the aggregate stock market and aggregate labor income. The paper finds that aggregate stock market risk is the … main factor determining excess stock and bond returns, but that the price of stock market risk does not equal the … coefficient of relative risk aversion as would be implied by the static Capital Asset Pricing Model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013223885
priced risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013224117
itself. It then examines whether aggregate market risk or aggregate fundamental risk is priced. Although market risk is … priced, the paper does find that fundamental risk is an important factor in explaining risk premia …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013224336
The long-run risks model of asset prices explains stock price variation as a response to persistent fluctuations in the mean and volatility of aggregate consumption growth, by a representative agent with a high elasticity of intertemporal substitution. This paper documents several empirical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013225971
depends on the concentration of these aggregate shocks; it follows that one cannot estimate the degree of risk aversion from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013227010
Swiss franc assets, together with the US stock market. The model is estimated constraining risk premia to depend on the time … variances cannot explain the observed time-variation of risk premia. Furthermore, the constraints imposed by the static CAPH are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013141091