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Do financial markets properly reflect leverage? Unlike Gomes and Schmid (2010) who examine this question with a structural approach (using long-term monthly stock characteristics), my paper examines it with a quasi-experimental approach (using short-term a discrete event). After a firm has...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012994892
findings have implications for market-wide volatility - the model-implied correlations alone can explain 44% of the cross …-section of aggregate volatility. The results are robust to controlling for a number of alternative factors put forth by the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013017087
A single macroeconomic factor based on growth in the capital share of aggregate income exhibits significant explanatory power for expected returns across a range of equity characteristic portfolios and non-equity asset classes, with risk price estimates that are of the same sign and similar in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013040236
that economy, the typical individual stock return has a high mean and excess volatility, and there is a large value premium …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012763180
This paper re-examines the effects of nominal contracts on the relationship between unanticipated inflation and individual stock's rate of return. This study differs in three main ways from previous research. First, announced inflation data are used to examine the effects of unanticipated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012777258
volatility over the next month, but with decreasing realized volatility. These predictability patterns are consistent with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013073570
Recent evidence of excessive comovement among stocks following index additions (Barberis, Shleifer, and Wurgler, 2005) and stock splits (Green and Hwang, 2009) challenges traditional finance theory. Based on a simple model, we show that the bivariate regressions relied upon in the literature...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013020678
We propose a nonparametric method to test which characteristics provide independent information for the cross section of expected returns. We use the adaptive group LASSO to select characteristics and to estimate how they affect expected returns nonparametrically. Our method can handle a large...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012960787
This paper explores whether affine models with volatility jumps estimated on intradaily S&P 500 futures data over 1983 … typically small, and that self-exciting but short-lived volatility spikes capture intradaily and daily returns better …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012997899
intraday data and nonparametric volatility measures, along with a new jump detection technique and appropriate conditional … alleviate microstructure frictions for realized volatility estimation. Size and power of the procedure are explored through …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012777343