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newspaper endorsements. We first develop a simple econometric model in which voters choose candidates under uncertainty and rely … on endorsements from better informed sources. Newspapers are potentially biased in favor of one of the candidates and … the Democratic candidate from left-leaning newspapers are less influential than are endorsements from neutral or right …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012769528
Anecdotal reports and small-scale studies suggest that elections are stressful, and might lead to a deterioration in voters’ mental well-being. Nonetheless, researchers have yet to establish whether elections actually make people sick, and if so, why. By applying a regression discontinuity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014240738
Polities differ in the extent to which political parties can pre-commit to carry out promised policy actions if they take power. Commitment problems may arise due to a divergence between the ex ante incentives facing national parties that seek to capture control of the legislature and the ex...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013246299
reelection. This generates a skew distribution of signals leading to an incumbency advantage in the probability of election … politicians, thus increasing the separation of signals and improving the selection function of an election. This precommitment has …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013110929
after, the election. Changes in vote choice are concomitant to shifts in salient issues and beliefs about candidates, while …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012857735
We test whether politicians can use direct contact to reconnect with citizens, increase turnout, and win votes. During the 2014 Italian municipal elections, we randomly assigned 26,000 voters to receive visits from city council candidates, canvassers supporting the candidates' list, or to a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013310971
A central challenge in estimating the causal effect of TV advertising on demand is isolating quasi-random variation in advertising. Political advertising, which topped $14 billion in expenditures in 2016, has been proposed as a plausible source of such variation and thus a candidate for an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013296080
, circulation, prices, number of pages, and content of Republican and Democratic daily newspapers. We exploit changes over time in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013104982
We use new data on entries and exits of US daily newspapers from 1869 to 2004 to estimate effects on political … events and allows for the possibility of confounding trends. We find that newspapers have a robust positive effect on … political participation, with one additional newspaper increasing both presidential and congressional turnout by approximately 0 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013153578
daily newspaper in the market. The next year, fewer candidates ran for municipal office in the Kentucky suburbs most reliant … newspapers - even underdogs such as the Post, which had a circulation of just 27,000 when it closed - can have a substantial and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012757670