Showing 1 - 10 of 3,272
This paper evaluates skewness in the cross-section of stock returns in light of predictions from a well-known class of models. Cross-sectional skewness in monthly returns far exceeds what the standard lognormal model of returns would predict. However, skewness in long-run returns substantially...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910287
I review recent research efforts in the area of empirical cross-sectional asset pricing. I start by summarizing the evidence on cross-sectional return predictability and the failure of standard (consumption) CAPM models and their conditional versions to explain these predictability patterns. One...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013097666
panel data to estimate the textbook 'expectations augmented' Phillips curve with a market-based and observable measure of … inflation expectations. We develop this measure using assumptions common in economic analysis of open economies. Using quarterly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013292577
Nonlinearity is an important consideration in many problems of finance and economics, such as pricing securities, computing equilibrium, and conducting structural estimations. We extend the transform analysis in Duffie, Pan, and Singleton (2000) by providing analytical treatment of a general...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013127979
This paper argues that a linear statistical model with homoskedastic errors cannot capture the nineteenth-century notion of a recurring cyclical pattern in key economic aggregates. A simple nonlinear alternative is proposed and used to illustrate that the dynamic behavior of unemployment seems...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013221108
We consider nonparametric identification and estimation in a nonseparable model where a continuous regressor of … endogenous assignment variable (like previous earnings). We provide new results on identification and estimation for these …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013097659
estimation for DSGE models approximated up to third-order and provides the foundation for indirect inference and SMM when …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013083081
DSGE models. U.S. output growth and the federal funds rate display nonlinear conditional mean dynamics, while inflation and … inflation and wage dynamics, thanks to the estimated downward wage/price rigidities, these do not spill over to output growth or …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013071908
multiple stochastic volatility processes. The estimation is based on annual consumption data from 1929 to 1959, monthly … Bayesian estimation provides strong evidence for a small predictable component in consumption growth (even if asset return data … are omitted from the estimation). Three independent volatility processes capture different frequency dynamics; our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013050301
capital accu- mulation. Our estimation strategy searches for parameters that minimize ex post errors in an Euler equation … estimation of parameters of dynamic optimization problems in which non-convexities lead to extended periods of investment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013095179